Varese vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
31%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1980 |
LAZ
2 - 1
VAR
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1980 |
VAR
0 - 1
ASC
22%
25%
53%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1980 |
VER
0 - 0
VAR
61%
22%
18%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1979 |
LEC
2 - 1
VAR
63%
23%
14%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
VAR
3 - 3
BRE
44%
31%
25%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1980 |
ASC
1 - 2
PES
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1980 |
PES
1 - 0
VER
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1980 |
PES
0 - 2
LAZ
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
PES
1 - 1
UDI
54%
27%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
ACM
3 - 1
PES
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |