Varese vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
18.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
14.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
17.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
BOL
1 - 0
VAR
52%
29%
20%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1985 |
VAR
2 - 0
PAR
68%
22%
10%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1985 |
TAR
1 - 1
VAR
39%
32%
28%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
VAR
1 - 1
SSS
55%
28%
17%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
CES
0 - 0
VAR
58%
26%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
PRG
2 - 0
PAD
48%
30%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1985 |
CAG
0 - 0
PRG
56%
28%
16%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1985 |
PRG
0 - 0
EMP
47%
30%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
LEC
1 - 1
PRG
54%
29%
17%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
TRI
0 - 0
PRG
56%
26%
17%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |