Varese vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
33.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
VAR
1 - 1
BRE
55%
27%
18%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
PAL
2 - 0
VAR
51%
28%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
VAR
1 - 0
SSS
60%
24%
15%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1981 |
PIS
0 - 0
VAR
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
VAR
1 - 1
RIM
61%
24%
15%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
PRG
3 - 0
SSS
61%
26%
13%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
RIM
2 - 1
PRG
33%
30%
37%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
PRG
0 - 2
PIS
62%
26%
12%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1981 |
BRE
1 - 0
PRG
39%
29%
31%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
PRG
2 - 0
CAV
62%
25%
13%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | +1 |