Varese vs Pergocrema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
VAR
2 - 0
FOL
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
FCV
0 - 1
VAR
30%
28%
42%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
VAR
2 - 1
SOR
39%
28%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
VAR
1 - 0
USA
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PRO
1 - 1
VAR
61%
24%
16%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pergocrema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
PER
2 - 1
ASS
36%
28%
36%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
LEC
2 - 1
PER
46%
28%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
PER
0 - 2
RIM
24%
26%
51%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
PER
0 - 1
USC
28%
29%
43%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
ARZ
3 - 1
PER
63%
23%
14%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |