Varese vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
11.5%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
18.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
0
22.3%
9.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1985 |
TAR
1 - 1
VAR
39%
32%
28%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
VAR
1 - 1
SSS
55%
28%
17%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
CES
0 - 0
VAR
58%
26%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1984 |
VAR
2 - 1
ASS
52%
29%
19%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1984 |
BAR
2 - 1
VAR
57%
27%
16%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1985 |
PAR
0 - 1
ARZ
41%
32%
27%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
PES
3 - 0
PAR
63%
24%
13%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
PAR
0 - 1
LEC
44%
30%
26%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1984 |
CAM
3 - 1
PAR
54%
29%
17%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1984 |
PAR
0 - 0
CAG
45%
30%
26%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |