Varese vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
15.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
MOD
2 - 2
VAR
36%
30%
35%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
VAR
1 - 0
FCC
57%
27%
15%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
AVE
3 - 0
VAR
40%
29%
31%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
VAR
1 - 1
VIC
54%
27%
19%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
VAR
0 - 0
TAR
68%
22%
10%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
PAL
2 - 0
TER
48%
30%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
ATL
2 - 0
PAL
44%
32%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
PAL
0 - 0
SPA
50%
28%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
GEN
1 - 1
PAL
68%
21%
11%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
PAL
1 - 1
USF
52%
29%
19%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |