Varese vs Olginatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
PAV
0 - 5
VAR
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
VAR
0 - 2
ASD
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 0
VAR
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 1
GOZ
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
ARC
1 - 1
VAR
11%
20%
68%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Olginatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
OLG
1 - 1
ASD
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
GOZ
1 - 1
OLG
78%
15%
7%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
OLG
1 - 3
CAS
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
INV
1 - 0
OLG
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
OLG
1 - 1
CHI
16%
22%
62%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |