Varese vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1964 |
LEC
1 - 1
VAR
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
VAR
3 - 0
PRO
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
ASS
1 - 4
VAR
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
VAR
1 - 1
PAD
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
USA
0 - 1
VAR
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1964 |
NAP
0 - 0
PAL
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
NAP
3 - 0
USF
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
COS
0 - 0
NAP
35%
30%
35%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
NAP
1 - 0
TRI
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
UDI
0 - 0
NAP
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |