Varese vs Montevarchi Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
14.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
LEC
0 - 5
VAR
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
SPA
2 - 1
VAR
45%
28%
28%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
ABN
1 - 1
VAR
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
VAR
2 - 0
CAR
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
CTT
2 - 0
VAR
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
MON
1 - 1
LIV
20%
25%
55%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
MON
1 - 1
BRE
32%
27%
42%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
CAR
1 - 1
MON
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
MON
1 - 2
CTT
30%
27%
44%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
MON
1 - 0
SPA
31%
27%
41%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |