Varese vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
27%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
55.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
VAR
2 - 0
REG
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
BRE
0 - 1
VAR
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
VAR
1 - 1
INT
23%
26%
52%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1971 |
COM
0 - 0
VAR
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1971 |
VAR
3 - 0
USF
51%
29%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
DIG
0 - 3
ACM
22%
24%
54%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1971 |
ACM
4 - 0
DIG
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
CAT
1 - 1
ACM
19%
26%
55%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
ACM
2 - 0
MAN
84%
12%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1971 |
ACM
2 - 0
NOV
84%
12%
4%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |