Varese vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
28.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
USA
0 - 2
VAR
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
VAR
1 - 1
CAR
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
VAR
1 - 0
PIS
43%
29%
28%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
SPA
0 - 0
VAR
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
VAR
1 - 2
MOD
39%
29%
32%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
ASL
2 - 2
SPA
49%
28%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
ARZ
1 - 1
ASL
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
ASL
2 - 0
LEC
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
ACL
0 - 3
ASL
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
ASL
0 - 1
PIS
45%
29%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |