Varese vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
39.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
CES
0 - 0
VAR
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
BRE
0 - 0
VAR
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
VAR
1 - 0
LEC
58%
24%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
ACL
0 - 2
VAR
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
VAR
1 - 0
ABN
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
LIV
2 - 0
USA
64%
21%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
ABN
1 - 1
LIV
31%
27%
43%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2000 |
LIV
3 - 1
ALV
75%
17%
9%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
CES
1 - 1
LIV
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
LIV
2 - 0
ASL
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |