Varese vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
18.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
PAL
0 - 0
VAR
35%
31%
35%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
VAR
0 - 0
REG
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
POT
2 - 1
VAR
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
VAR
0 - 0
SAM
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
USA
0 - 3
VAR
36%
30%
34%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
LIV
1 - 2
REG
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
SAM
3 - 0
LIV
58%
26%
17%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
LIV
1 - 0
USA
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
MOD
2 - 2
LIV
54%
27%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
LIV
4 - 1
FCC
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |