Varese vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
21%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1985 |
GEN
1 - 0
VAR
62%
24%
14%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
VAR
1 - 3
PRG
53%
29%
18%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
BOL
1 - 0
VAR
52%
29%
20%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1985 |
VAR
2 - 0
PAR
68%
22%
10%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1985 |
TAR
1 - 1
VAR
39%
32%
28%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1985 |
LEC
1 - 0
SSS
57%
27%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1985 |
LEC
1 - 0
ASS
54%
28%
18%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1985 |
CAG
0 - 1
LEC
53%
28%
19%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1985 |
LEC
2 - 2
TRI
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1985 |
CAM
2 - 1
LEC
47%
30%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |