Varese vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
12.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1982 |
BRE
0 - 0
VAR
53%
27%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
VAR
3 - 1
PAL
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
SSS
1 - 0
VAR
42%
31%
28%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1982 |
VAR
1 - 0
PIS
54%
27%
19%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1982 |
RIM
1 - 0
VAR
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1982 |
LEC
2 - 1
CAT
53%
28%
19%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1982 |
LEC
1 - 1
USC
57%
28%
15%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
PIS
1 - 1
LEC
60%
25%
15%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
LEC
1 - 0
PES
62%
26%
12%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1982 |
BAR
1 - 0
LEC
60%
25%
15%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |