Varese vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
52.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
VAR
2 - 0
REG
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
VAR
2 - 1
AVE
66%
18%
16%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1974 |
TAR
0 - 0
VAR
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
JUV
4 - 0
VAR
87%
10%
4%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1974 |
TAR
3 - 3
VAR
33%
34%
33%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
VIC
1 - 2
INT
30%
26%
44%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
ETR
0 - 0
INT
11%
16%
73%
|
86 | 9 | 77 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
INT
2 - 0
NOV
85%
11%
5%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1974 |
BRI
1 - 2
INT
17%
24%
60%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
INT
3 - 1
ASC
80%
14%
7%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |