Varese vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
51.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1971 |
COM
0 - 0
VAR
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1971 |
VAR
3 - 0
USF
51%
29%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1971 |
SAM
2 - 1
VAR
53%
27%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1971 |
VAR
2 - 1
LAZ
47%
30%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
FIO
1 - 1
VAR
66%
22%
13%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1971 |
INT
6 - 0
REG
84%
11%
4%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1971 |
INT
1 - 1
LAZ
79%
15%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1971 |
FIO
2 - 2
INT
33%
28%
40%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1971 |
INT
5 - 0
USF
78%
16%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
INT
3 - 1
SAM
76%
17%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |