Varese vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
53.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1964 |
PRO
1 - 0
VAR
42%
23%
34%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1964 |
TRI
1 - 1
VAR
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1964 |
VAR
2 - 1
USF
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1964 |
VAR
1 - 0
COS
73%
18%
9%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1964 |
POT
0 - 0
VAR
44%
26%
31%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1964 |
IND
1 - 0
INT
52%
22%
26%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1964 |
TOR
4 - 1
INT
26%
25%
49%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1964 |
INT
2 - 1
ATL
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1964 |
INT
3 - 1
RMA
49%
23%
29%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1964 |
GEN
0 - 2
INT
22%
25%
53%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |