Varese vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
JUS
1 - 2
VAR
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 2
BAR
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
MOD
1 - 2
VAR
37%
28%
36%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 2
VAR
17%
27%
56%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 0
ASC
54%
26%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
VER
1 - 1
NOV
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
VIC
2 - 3
VER
33%
29%
38%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
VER
2 - 0
REG
45%
27%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
VER
1 - 1
SPE
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
MOD
1 - 1
VER
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |