Varese vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
20.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
SAM
4 - 0
VAR
49%
29%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
VAR
0 - 2
JUV
31%
31%
38%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1968 |
PIS
1 - 1
VAR
32%
31%
37%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
ATL
0 - 0
VAR
49%
28%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
VAR
1 - 6
CAG
38%
29%
33%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
VER
5 - 3
PIS
56%
27%
17%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
PAL
0 - 0
VER
44%
29%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1968 |
VER
3 - 0
TOR
28%
31%
41%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
BOL
1 - 1
VER
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
VER
1 - 3
ACM
18%
29%
53%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |