Varese vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1964 |
VAR
1 - 0
NAP
56%
24%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
LEC
1 - 1
VAR
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
VAR
3 - 0
PRO
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
ASS
1 - 4
VAR
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
VAR
1 - 1
PAD
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1964 |
VER
0 - 3
CAG
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
VNZ
1 - 0
VER
50%
27%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
VER
1 - 0
COS
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
VER
1 - 2
POT
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
LEC
0 - 0
VER
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |