Varese vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
CAG
1 - 1
VAR
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
CAT
0 - 0
VAR
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
VAR
1 - 0
MES
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1964 |
VAR
0 - 0
USF
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
ATL
0 - 0
VAR
63%
19%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
GEN
0 - 0
ATL
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
ROM
1 - 1
GEN
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
GEN
2 - 1
SAM
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1964 |
GEN
0 - 0
MAN
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
TOR
4 - 1
GEN
59%
23%
19%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |