Varese vs Frosinone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 0
VAR
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 3
BOL
34%
28%
37%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
CTT
3 - 0
VAR
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 2
BRE
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
TRA
0 - 0
VAR
48%
25%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
FRO
3 - 3
ACD
62%
23%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
MOD
1 - 0
FRO
44%
28%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
FRO
2 - 1
PRG
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CAT
1 - 2
FRO
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
FRO
3 - 2
LEO
58%
25%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |