Varese vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.4%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
3.8%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CUN
0 - 1
VAR
15%
25%
60%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
PON
1 - 2
VAR
15%
22%
64%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
VAR
0 - 2
VAR
8%
15%
77%
|
59 | 31 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
REN
0 - 2
VAR
15%
24%
61%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
TER
2 - 0
VAR
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FOL
3 - 2
VOG
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FOL
2 - 1
ASS
39%
27%
34%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
FOL
2 - 2
GRU
39%
24%
38%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CIS
1 - 3
FOL
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
INV
1 - 3
FOL
61%
22%
17%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |