Varese vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
42.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.3%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
CAG
1 - 1
VAR
76%
17%
7%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
VAR
0 - 1
SAM
42%
31%
27%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
VAR
2 - 4
MAN
53%
30%
17%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1972 |
JUV
1 - 0
VAR
84%
11%
5%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
VAR
0 - 1
ATL
49%
30%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
FIO
0 - 1
MAN
75%
18%
7%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
INT
1 - 1
FIO
66%
21%
13%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
FIO
0 - 1
CAG
51%
27%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1972 |
VIC
0 - 1
FIO
34%
31%
36%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
FIO
1 - 0
FCC
76%
17%
7%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |