Coppa Italia Semi-finals
Global 0-0
Varese vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
48.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
CES
1 - 1
VAR
35%
33%
32%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
VAR
0 - 0
TAR
72%
21%
8%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
VAR
2 - 1
GEN
67%
23%
10%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
LIV
0 - 0
VAR
27%
33%
40%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
VAR
2 - 0
PIA
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
FIO
2 - 0
LAZ
76%
17%
6%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
CAG
0 - 0
FIO
44%
26%
30%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
FIO
2 - 1
VIC
70%
20%
10%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
SAM
1 - 3
FIO
19%
27%
55%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
FIO
1 - 2
NAP
64%
24%
12%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |