Varese vs Viareggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
SOR
1 - 1
VAR
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
VAR
1 - 1
ACL
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
USA
0 - 3
VAR
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
VAR
3 - 1
PRO
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ASF
1 - 1
VAR
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Viareggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
FCV
2 - 1
PRO
28%
28%
44%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
NOV
1 - 1
FCV
81%
14%
5%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
FCV
0 - 2
USA
28%
27%
45%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
FOL
4 - 2
FCV
62%
23%
15%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
FCV
1 - 0
PAG
34%
28%
39%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |