Varese vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
18.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
15%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
20.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
CES
3 - 0
VAR
51%
27%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1978 |
VAR
2 - 2
CAG
46%
30%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
ASC
4 - 1
VAR
58%
25%
18%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
VAR
1 - 0
SAM
44%
30%
25%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
BRE
0 - 0
VAR
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
FCC
1 - 0
AVE
64%
23%
13%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
TAR
0 - 0
FCC
52%
29%
19%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
FCC
1 - 0
MOD
70%
20%
10%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
TER
2 - 1
FCC
50%
30%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
FCC
1 - 1
CES
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |