Varese vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
18.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
14.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1974 |
REG
0 - 0
VAR
30%
34%
36%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1974 |
VAR
3 - 2
AVE
60%
24%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
BRE
1 - 1
VAR
44%
30%
26%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
VAR
2 - 1
SPA
55%
28%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
ASC
0 - 0
VAR
58%
25%
17%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1974 |
REG
1 - 1
FCC
55%
28%
18%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1974 |
FCC
2 - 0
BRI
51%
28%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
SPA
0 - 0
FCC
58%
27%
15%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
FCC
0 - 0
PRG
55%
28%
17%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
COM
2 - 0
FCC
57%
27%
16%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |