Varese vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
23%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
PAD
2 - 1
VAR
56%
26%
19%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
VAR
0 - 0
CAG
50%
28%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
PES
3 - 0
VAR
51%
27%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1984 |
VAR
2 - 1
ARZ
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
CAT
1 - 1
VAR
47%
29%
24%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
EMP
1 - 1
BAR
46%
29%
25%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
CES
1 - 1
EMP
57%
25%
19%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
LEC
1 - 1
EMP
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1984 |
EMP
0 - 0
BOL
52%
27%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
PES
2 - 0
EMP
45%
28%
26%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |