Varese vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
3.2%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
INV
1 - 0
VAR
16%
22%
62%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
VAR
4 - 3
PRO
82%
13%
5%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
4 - 2
VAR
9%
20%
71%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 1
COM
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
BOR
1 - 1
VAR
8%
19%
73%
|
54 | 22 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
DER
0 - 2
ARC
27%
23%
50%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
DER
1 - 1
COM
7%
18%
76%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
PRO
2 - 1
DER
75%
16%
8%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
DER
1 - 2
FOL
23%
26%
51%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 0
DER
60%
22%
19%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |