Varese vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
21.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
VAR
2 - 1
SAN
67%
21%
12%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
USC
0 - 0
VAR
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
VAR
0 - 0
ASL
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
SIE
2 - 0
VAR
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
VAR
3 - 0
MOD
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
COM
0 - 0
USC
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
SAN
0 - 0
COM
31%
28%
41%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
COM
0 - 0
SIE
30%
28%
43%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
MOD
1 - 1
COM
48%
28%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
COM
1 - 1
BRE
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |