Varese vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
17.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
TER
1 - 1
VAR
48%
28%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
LEC
1 - 2
VAR
54%
26%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
VAR
1 - 1
AVE
55%
27%
18%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
VAR
1 - 0
RIM
53%
27%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
BAR
3 - 0
VAR
42%
30%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
SSS
2 - 2
COM
50%
30%
20%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
COM
0 - 1
TER
50%
29%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
PAL
2 - 0
COM
48%
31%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
COM
1 - 0
SAM
43%
31%
26%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
AVE
0 - 0
COM
52%
29%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |