Varese vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
10.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
ARZ
1 - 2
VAR
33%
32%
35%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
VAR
3 - 0
MAN
61%
25%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
REG
1 - 1
VAR
33%
32%
36%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
VAR
2 - 1
PIS
58%
25%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
PRG
0 - 1
VAR
42%
30%
28%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
COM
1 - 0
LIV
55%
27%
18%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
COM
1 - 0
PIS
38%
30%
33%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
USF
1 - 1
COM
64%
23%
13%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
TER
3 - 1
COM
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
COM
2 - 1
FCC
50%
28%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |