Varese vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
18.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
30.8%
Draw
0-0
15.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
30.8%
20.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1973 |
LEC
0 - 0
VAR
33%
33%
34%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
TAR
1 - 0
VAR
36%
34%
30%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
VAR
1 - 0
COM
50%
30%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
GEN
3 - 2
VAR
54%
27%
19%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1973 |
VAR
0 - 0
REG
54%
29%
17%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1973 |
ARZ
1 - 0
CAT
40%
34%
26%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
CAT
1 - 0
BAR
56%
29%
15%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
CES
0 - 0
CAT
54%
28%
18%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
CAT
3 - 0
LEC
63%
26%
11%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1973 |
FCC
0 - 1
CAT
53%
29%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |