Varese vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
REG
5 - 1
VAR
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
VAR
2 - 2
ALZ
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
CES
3 - 0
VAR
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
VAR
1 - 2
SPE
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
PIS
2 - 1
VAR
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
CAR
0 - 1
SPA
45%
28%
27%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
CAR
2 - 5
ABN
34%
29%
37%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
REG
2 - 3
CAR
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
CAR
0 - 0
ALZ
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
PRO
2 - 2
CAR
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |