Varese vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
CTT
2 - 0
VAR
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
VAR
3 - 1
ACL
65%
22%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
LIV
0 - 0
VAR
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
VAR
2 - 1
COM
51%
27%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
VAR
2 - 1
SAN
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
CAR
0 - 0
PIS
30%
29%
41%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
SIE
3 - 0
CAR
73%
18%
9%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
CAR
1 - 1
REG
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
ASL
1 - 2
CAR
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
CAR
0 - 0
SPA
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |