Varese vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
38.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
VAR
3 - 2
NOV
23%
25%
52%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
PIS
2 - 0
VAR
57%
25%
18%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
VAR
0 - 0
PAV
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
RIM
1 - 1
VAR
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
CTT
2 - 0
VAR
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
PAD
2 - 1
PRO
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2003 |
RIM
0 - 0
PAD
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
ASL
1 - 0
PAD
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
PAD
2 - 0
REG
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
ALZ
3 - 2
PAD
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -2 |