Varese vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
17.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
CAG
1 - 1
VAR
50%
29%
20%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
VAR
1 - 1
PES
53%
27%
20%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
ARZ
1 - 1
VAR
44%
32%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
VAR
4 - 1
CAT
51%
28%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1985 |
CAM
1 - 0
VAR
50%
30%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
PAD
1 - 1
TRI
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
PIS
1 - 0
PAD
62%
25%
14%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
CAT
1 - 0
PAD
52%
28%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
PAD
2 - 0
ARZ
54%
26%
19%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1985 |
GEN
0 - 0
PAD
67%
21%
11%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |