Varese vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
22.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1984 |
PAL
2 - 1
VAR
44%
30%
26%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1984 |
VAR
2 - 0
PES
53%
27%
19%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1984 |
LEC
4 - 0
VAR
49%
30%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
VAR
1 - 1
ASS
53%
28%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
VAR
1 - 0
PIS
54%
28%
18%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1984 |
PAD
0 - 0
SSS
60%
25%
16%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1984 |
CAV
0 - 0
PAD
38%
31%
31%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1984 |
TRI
1 - 1
PAD
58%
25%
17%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
PAD
1 - 0
PES
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
PAL
0 - 1
PAD
41%
29%
29%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |