Varese vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
REG
2 - 3
VAR
39%
29%
32%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2001 |
VAR
1 - 0
ASS
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
CES
1 - 0
VAR
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
VAR
3 - 2
PIS
53%
27%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
VAR
0 - 0
SPA
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
LIV
2 - 0
LEC
74%
17%
10%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
LEC
5 - 0
CAR
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
PAD
0 - 2
LEC
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
LEC
0 - 1
REG
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
SPE
2 - 1
LEC
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |