Varese vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
26.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
SSS
1 - 1
VAR
44%
31%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
VAR
2 - 1
TRI
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
CAV
0 - 1
VAR
43%
30%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
VAR
1 - 1
CAM
64%
23%
14%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
CES
1 - 0
VAR
66%
22%
12%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
CAG
1 - 1
EMP
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
PAD
1 - 0
CAG
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
CAG
1 - 0
PAL
64%
23%
13%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
PIS
1 - 0
CAG
38%
31%
32%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
CAG
1 - 0
ATL
69%
22%
9%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |