Varese vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
27.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
TER
1 - 2
VAR
43%
28%
30%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
VAR
2 - 2
MOD
67%
23%
10%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
ASS
2 - 1
VAR
38%
30%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
CAT
2 - 0
VAR
31%
30%
39%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
VAR
3 - 1
ASC
49%
29%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
TAR
2 - 1
CAG
27%
31%
42%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
CAG
3 - 0
TER
71%
20%
9%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
PES
3 - 0
CAG
33%
30%
36%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
CAG
2 - 0
MOD
77%
18%
6%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
BRE
1 - 2
CAG
38%
29%
33%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |