Varese vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
32.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
BOL
1 - 0
VAR
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
MAN
2 - 0
VAR
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
BRE
1 - 2
VAR
54%
23%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
VAR
0 - 0
PAD
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
ACM
1 - 0
VAR
77%
16%
8%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
CAG
3 - 0
PAL
80%
15%
6%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
CAG
1 - 1
REG
76%
14%
10%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
PRG
0 - 1
CAG
35%
24%
41%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
LIV
0 - 2
CAG
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
CAG
3 - 2
INT
29%
26%
46%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |