Varese vs Bustese Milano City FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.4%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
3.1%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
GOZ
2 - 1
VAR
19%
26%
56%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 0
VAR
89%
9%
3%
|
57 | 24 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 1
VAR
19%
25%
56%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 2
UNI
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 0
SET
89%
9%
3%
|
57 | 21 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Bustese Milano City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
BUS
2 - 3
BOR
22%
23%
55%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 1
BUS
66%
18%
15%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
BUS
0 - 0
CUN
16%
24%
60%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BUS
3 - 1
VER
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ASD
3 - 3
BUS
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |