Varese vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1975 |
VAR
0 - 2
NAP
32%
32%
36%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
VIC
1 - 1
VAR
57%
25%
17%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
VAR
0 - 1
ACM
20%
27%
53%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
VAR
0 - 0
TOR
32%
31%
38%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
LAZ
2 - 0
VAR
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1975 |
BRE
1 - 1
PAR
56%
28%
17%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1975 |
GEN
0 - 0
BRE
65%
23%
12%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1975 |
BRE
0 - 0
USF
45%
31%
24%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1975 |
NOV
1 - 1
BRE
58%
26%
16%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
BRE
0 - 0
COM
39%
31%
30%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |