Varese vs Brescello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
VAR
0 - 1
USC
20%
25%
55%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
RIM
2 - 1
VAR
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
TOR
2 - 2
VAR
81%
13%
6%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
VAR
1 - 0
SSS
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
VAR
0 - 1
TRI
47%
23%
30%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Brescello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
JUV
4 - 0
BRE
95%
4%
1%
|
52 | 93 | 41 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1997 |
BRE
1 - 1
JUV
6%
19%
76%
|
51 | 93 | 42 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
ASL
1 - 1
BRE
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1997 |
BRE
4 - 1
ASL
21%
25%
54%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | +2 |