Varese vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
18.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
16%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
PAR
1 - 1
VAR
43%
31%
26%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1985 |
VAR
3 - 0
TAR
67%
22%
11%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
SSS
0 - 1
VAR
43%
32%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
VAR
0 - 0
CES
53%
28%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1985 |
ASS
1 - 1
VAR
51%
29%
20%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
BOL
0 - 0
PES
51%
28%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1985 |
CAG
2 - 0
BOL
53%
30%
18%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
TAR
0 - 0
BOL
39%
34%
27%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
BOL
2 - 0
ASS
55%
28%
17%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1985 |
BOL
1 - 1
LEC
49%
30%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |