Varese vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
26.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
TRI
1 - 1
VAR
62%
19%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1982 |
VAR
3 - 1
ASC
38%
26%
35%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
VAR
1 - 1
PIS
67%
21%
13%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1982 |
SAM
0 - 0
VAR
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1982 |
BRE
1 - 2
VAR
49%
27%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
BOL
2 - 2
FIO
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1982 |
CAV
0 - 0
BOL
29%
25%
46%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
BOL
3 - 0
NOC
79%
14%
8%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1982 |
PIS
1 - 1
BOL
41%
27%
33%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1982 |
BOL
2 - 0
CAM
80%
13%
7%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |