Varese vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
36.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1975 |
ASC
2 - 0
VAR
48%
29%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
CES
1 - 1
VAR
51%
28%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
VAR
1 - 1
FIO
34%
32%
34%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
VAR
1 - 1
TER
52%
29%
19%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1975 |
ROM
1 - 0
VAR
64%
23%
13%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1975 |
BOL
1 - 2
LAZ
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
TER
0 - 0
BOL
34%
29%
37%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
TOR
3 - 3
BOL
53%
26%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
BOL
1 - 1
VIC
73%
18%
9%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1975 |
CAG
1 - 1
BOL
40%
29%
31%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |